Southern Methodist vs Tulane 10/13/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Southern Methodist winning 56% of simulations, and Tulane 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Southern Methodist commits fewer turnovers in 42% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Tulane wins 57% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Zach Line is averaging 126 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Orleans Darkwa is averaging 61 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 58%.

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